CLIMATE CHANGE AND RENEWABLE ENERGY:
THE CHALLENGE OF PREDICTING THE FUTURE
Dr Matt Lewis
History is full of examples of our obsession with predicting the future, which continues today with the use of high-performance “super” computers. Here, I hope to explore our resilience from future changes in our weather which is predicted by climate change. Using examples from coastal flood risk and renewable electricity supply; uncertainties of downscaling climate models to local decision-making tools will be discussed alongside the impact of resilient engineering practice. For example, flood walls may reduce the hazard but can increase risk or lead to habitat loss and reduce access to a recreation space. Given uncertainties in policy, future extreme events and societal behavior – how can we mitigate future climate change driven risk? Should we? And how can this be done in a fair and sustainable way? This presentation will not answer these questions, instead I will provide some background to concerns of future risk in coastal flooding and renewable electricity that, I hope, will lead to a conversation about engineering a resilient future.